Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.323348 0.430595 0.548567 0.685852 0.839327 1.003983 1.192450
2025-06-01 0.147592 0.273883 0.433614 0.638741 0.885894 1.166738 1.503470
2025-06-08 0.074790 0.197407 0.373668 0.617442 0.926004 1.288867 1.735287
2025-06-15 0.039903 0.157868 0.350108 0.632716 1.003823 1.450824 2.010289
2025-06-22 0.015598 0.118406 0.315471 0.624846 1.046058 1.564875 2.224344
2025-06-29 0.002815 0.083872 0.278354 0.606521 1.069763 1.652579 2.403991
2025-07-06 0.000349 0.073766 0.279913 0.642260 1.163543 1.826439 2.687095
2025-07-13 NaN 0.067578 0.286928 0.685220 1.266522 2.011631 2.983988
2025-07-20 NaN 0.060839 0.290871 0.722443 1.361129 2.185961 3.267519
2025-07-27 NaN 0.062471 0.312804 0.788271 1.495499 2.411325 3.614259
2025-08-03 NaN 0.058307 0.320558 0.830838 1.597279 2.594904 3.909529
2025-08-10 NaN 0.046479 0.307020 0.837164 1.647335 2.711381 4.121381
2025-08-17 NaN 0.025148 0.260122 0.786253 1.618103 2.729383 4.217376
2025-08-24 NaN 0.010174 0.215280 0.732725 1.582008 2.737014 4.300095
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003828 0.190234 0.710586 1.588905 2.798805 4.448450
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001957 0.185544 0.726811 1.653223 2.937293 4.694306
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000250 0.169622 0.718402 1.678797 3.022908 4.872223
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.149711 0.698658 1.685269 3.081662 5.015036
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.156445 0.737121 1.783453 3.265951 5.319757
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.166550 0.783256 1.893950 3.467311 5.646744
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.173866 0.823157 1.994635 3.655331 5.956686
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.194722 0.893562 2.143887 3.910191 6.353156
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.204425 0.938991 2.253578 4.110865 6.679823